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<span>日期ï¼?019-04-12</span><span>æ¥æºï¼?!--<$[ä¿¡æ¯æ¥æº]>begin-->预测éƒ?!--<$[ä¿¡æ¯æ¥æº]>end--></span> <span class="set-font-size">å­—å·ã€?a href='javascript:doZoom(16)'>å¤?/a><a href='javascript:doZoom(14)'>ä¸?/a><a href='javascript:doZoom(12)'>å°?/a>ã€?/span> </div> </div> <div class="clr"></div> <div class="tab-bd"> <div class="tab-pal article-box" style="display: block;"> <div class="____article_content"> <!--<$[ä¿¡æ¯å†…容]>begin--><!--ZJEG_RSS.content.begin--><meta name="ContentStart"/><div class=TRS_Editor><DIV class=cas_content style="LAYOUT-GRID: 15.6pt none"> <P>　　<STRONG>内容摘è¦ï¼?/STRONG>江西监测预警信å·ç³»ç»Ÿæ˜¾ç¤ºï¼Œç›®å‰æˆ‘çœå®è§‚ç»æµŽä¸‹è¡ŒåŽ‹åŠ›è¾ƒå¤§ï¼Œç»¼åˆè­¦æƒ…指数处于å冷区间；江西å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ™¯æ°”分æžç³»ç»Ÿæ˜¾ç¤ºå®è§‚先行ã€ä¸€è‡´æŒ‡æ•°åŒåŒæŒç»­ä¸‹è¡Œï¼Œé¢„示2019年我çœå®è§‚ç»æµŽä¸‹è¡ŒåŽ‹åŠ›ç»§ç»­åŠ å¤§ã€‚建议强化逆周期调节，积æžçš„财政政策加力æ效；优化结构，加大供给侧结构性改é©çš„力度；è½å®žé‡‘èžæœåŠ¡æ”¿ç­–，定å‘支æŒä¸­å°å¾®æ°‘è¥ä¼ä¸šã€?/P></DIV> <P class=cas_content align=left>　　<STRONG>一ã€ç›‘测预警信å·ç³»ç»Ÿæ˜¾ç¤ºå½“å‰æˆ‘çœç»æµŽä¸‹è¡ŒåŽ‹åŠ›è¾ƒå¤?/STRONG></P> <P class=cas_content>　　å®è§‚ç»æµŽç›‘测预警信å·ç³»ç»Ÿæ˜¾ç¤ºï¼Œå½“å‰å®è§‚ç»æµŽä¸‹è¡ŒåŽ‹åŠ›è¾ƒå¤§ï¼Œæž„æˆç»¼åˆè­¦æƒ…指数çš?0个预警指标走势分化，综åˆè­¦æƒ…指数è¿è¡ŒäºŽå冷区间ã€?/P> <P class=cas_content align=left>　　（一）监测预警信å·ç³»ç»ŸåŸºæœ¬æƒ…å†?/P> <P class=cas_content>　　江西å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ™¯æ°”预警分æžç³»ç»Ÿé€‰å–10个é‡è¦çš„å®è§‚ç»æµŽæŒ‡æ ‡ï¼Œå映ç»æµŽè¿è¡Œçš„总供给ã€æ€»éœ€æ±‚ã€è´¢æ”¿ã€é‡‘èžã€ç‰©ä»·ç­‰ä¸åŒä¾§é¢ï¼Œç”¨çº¢ã€é»„ã€ç»¿ã€æµ…è“和深è“ç¯çš„标志对é‡è¦çš„å®è§‚ç»æµŽæŒ‡æ ‡è¿›è¡Œç›‘测和预警，以综åˆå映å®è§‚ç»æµŽè¿è¡Œçš„总体状况。红ç¯è¡¨ç¤ºç»æµŽè¿‡çƒ­ã€é»„ç¯è¡¨ç¤ºè¶‹çƒ­ã€ç»¿ç¯è¡¨ç¤ºæ­£å¸¸ã€æµ…è“ç¯è¡¨ç¤ºè¶‹å†·ã€æ·±è“色ç¯è¡¨ç¤ºè¿‡å†·ã€‚预警指数的指标构æˆè§è¡¨1ã€?/P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　è¡? 江西å®è§‚ç»æµŽé¢„警指数构æˆ</P> <DIV class=cas_content align=center> <TABLE class=MsoNormalTable style="BORDER-TOP: black 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1px solid; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 1px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 44.1pt; BORDER-LEFT: black 1px solid; mso-table-layout-alt: fixed; mso-border-top-alt: thin-thick-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: thick-thin-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-border-insideh: .5pt solid windowtext; mso-border-insidev: .5pt solid windowtext" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=583 border=1> <TBODY> <TR style="HEIGHT: 1pt; mso-yfti-irow: 0; mso-yfti-firstrow: yes"> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: windowtext 3.75pt double; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 37.15pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: thin-thick-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=50> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">åºå·</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: windowtext 3.75pt double; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 193.65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: thin-thick-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=258> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">指标å称</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: windowtext 3.75pt double; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 35.4pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: thin-thick-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=47> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">åºå·</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: windowtext 3.75pt double; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 171.2pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: thin-thick-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=228> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">指标å称</SPAN></P></TD></TR> <TR style="HEIGHT: 1pt; mso-yfti-irow: 1"> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 37.15pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=50> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">1</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 193.65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=258> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">居民消费价格指数</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 35.4pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=47> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">6</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 171.2pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=228> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">工业生产者出厂价格指æ•?/SPAN></P></TD></TR> <TR style="HEIGHT: 1pt; mso-yfti-irow: 2"> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 37.15pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=50> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">2</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 193.65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=258> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">财政收入指数</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 35.4pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=47> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">7</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 171.2pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=228> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">固定资产投资指数</SPAN></P></TD></TR> <TR style="HEIGHT: 1pt; mso-yfti-irow: 3"> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 37.15pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=50> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">3</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 193.65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=258> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">房地产开å‘投资指æ•?/SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 35.4pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=47> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">8</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 171.2pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=228> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">社会消费å“零售总é¢æŒ‡æ•°</SPAN></P></TD></TR> <TR style="HEIGHT: 1pt; mso-yfti-irow: 4"> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 37.15pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=50> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">4</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 193.65pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=258> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">金èžæœºæž„å„项贷款指数</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 35.4pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=47> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=left>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">9</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 171.2pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width=228> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; 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align=left>　　<STRONG>二ã€æ™¯æ°”指数系统预ç¤?019å¹´ç»æµŽè¿è¡Œä¸‹è¡ŒåŽ‹åŠ›åŠ å¤?/STRONG></P> <P class=cas_content>　　（一）å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ™¯æ°”指数系统基本情å†?/P> <P class=cas_content>　　江西å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ™¯æ°”指数系统基于ç»æµŽå‘¨æœŸç†è®ºï¼Œä»¥å·¥ä¸šå¢žåŠ å€¼ä¸ºåŸºå‡†æŒ‡æ ‡ï¼Œåˆ©ç”¨æ—¶é—´åºåˆ—方法识别ä¸åŒç»æµŽæŒ‡æ ‡ä¸ŽåŸºå‡†æŒ‡æ ‡çš„时差关系，并将指标分æˆå…ˆè¡Œã€ä¸€è‡´å’Œæ»žåŽä¸‰ç±»ï¼Œè¿›è€Œåˆæˆæ™¯æ°”指数，构建景气系统。我们综åˆä½¿ç”¨æ—¶å·®ç›¸å…³åˆ†æžã€K-Lä¿¡æ¯é‡ã€åŸºäºŽDTWçš„èšç±»åˆ†æžç­‰æ–°æ–¹æ³•å¯¹æ™¯æ°”指数系统的相关指标库进行了改进，目å‰æŒ‡æ ‡æž„æˆæƒ…况è§è¡¨2ã€?/P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　è¡? 江西å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ™¯æ°”系统指标åº?/P> <DIV class=cas_content align=center> <TABLE class=MsoNormalTable style="BORDER-TOP: black 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: black 1px solid; WIDTH: 100%; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse; BORDER-BOTTOM: black 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: black 1px solid; mso-border-top-alt: thin-thick-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: thick-thin-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-padding-alt: 0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-border-insideh: .5pt solid 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style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">é’¢æ产é‡æŒ‡æ•°</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 8.64%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="8%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">1</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 41.28%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">财政收入指数</SPAN></P></TD></TR> <TR style="HEIGHT: 1pt; mso-yfti-irow: 2"> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 8.56%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="8%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">2</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 41.52%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">金èžæœºæž„å„项贷款指数</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 8.64%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="8%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">2</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 41.28%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">房地产开å‘投资指æ•?/SPAN></P></TD></TR> <TR style="HEIGHT: 1pt; mso-yfti-irow: 3"> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 8.56%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="8%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">3</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 41.52%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">商å“房销售é¢ç§¯æŒ‡æ•?/SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 8.64%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="8%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">3</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 41.28%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">å®è§‚需求指æ•?/SPAN></P></TD></TR> <TR style="HEIGHT: 1pt; mso-yfti-irow: 4"> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 8.56%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-right-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="8%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">4</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 41.52%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">全国å®è§‚先行指数</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 8.64%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="8%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">4</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 41.28%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 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5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: thick-thin-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none">　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"> </SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt solid; WIDTH: 8.64%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 3.75pt double; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: thick-thin-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="8%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">5</SPAN></P></TD> <TD style="BORDER-TOP: medium none; HEIGHT: 1pt; BORDER-RIGHT: medium none; WIDTH: 41.28%; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 3.75pt double; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; PADDING-LEFT: 5.4pt; BORDER-LEFT: medium none; PADDING-RIGHT: 5.4pt; mso-border-top-alt: solid windowtext .5pt; mso-border-bottom-alt: thick-thin-small-gap windowtext 3.75pt; mso-border-left-alt: solid windowtext .5pt" width="41%"> <P class=MsoNormal style="LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-ALIGN: center; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none" align=center>　　<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">主è¥ä¸šåŠ¡æ”¶å…¥æŒ‡æ•°</SPAN></P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV> <P class=cas_content>　　（二）å®è§‚先行ã€ä¸€è‡´æŒ‡æ•°åŒåŒæŒç»­ä¸‹è¡?/P> <P class=cas_content>　　å®è§‚先行指数对å®è§‚一致指数起到先导作用，å映ä¼ä¸šåŽ»åº“å­˜ã€åŽŸæ料生产ã€æˆ¿åœ°äº§å¼€å‘销售等ç»æµŽè¿è¡Œçš„先导方é¢å¯¹å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ•´ä½“的拉动作用。构æˆå®è§‚先行指数的4个先行指标在ç»è¿‡å­£èŠ‚调整ã€å–趋势项åŽï¼?018年呈现如下å˜åŠ¨ï¼ˆè§è¡¨3）：å—调控影å“，商å“房销售é¢ç§¯æŒ‡æ•°ç»åŽ†äº†ä¸ŠåŠå¹´å¾®å¼±ä¸Šæ¶¨åŽï¼Œä»Ž6月份开始下跌，月跌幅é€æ¸æ‰©å¤§ï¼Œåˆ°10月份åŽå¼€å§‹è´Ÿå¢žé•¿ï¼›ä¾›ç»™ä¾§ç»“构性改é©æ˜¾æ•ˆï¼ŒåŽ»äº§èƒ½å‡åŽ‹äº†æˆ‘çœé’¢é“过剩产能，抑制了新增钢é“产能项目，钢æ产é‡æŒ‡æ•°å‘ˆå°å¹…上涨趋势，近五个月产é‡è¶‹ç¨³ï¼›äººæ°‘å¸å„项贷款余é¢æŒ‡æ•°ä¿æŒå¹³ç¨³ï¼›å…¨å›½å®è§‚先行指数ä¿æŒå¹³ç¨³ä¸‹è¡Œã€?/P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　è¡? 江西å®è§‚先行指数</P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　<SPAN></P> <P class=cas_content align=center><IMG src="/images/404.jpg" width=554 height=435 _fcksavedurl="/images/404.jpg" v:shapes="图片_x0020_4" /></P></SPAN> <P class=cas_content>　　</P> <P class=cas_content>　　å®è§‚一致指数å映当å‰å®è§‚ç»æµŽçš„景气状况。构æˆå®è§‚一致指数的5个一致指标在ç»è¿‡å­£èŠ‚调整ã€å–趋势项åŽï¼?018年呈现如下å˜åŠ¨ï¼ˆè§è¡¨4）：积æžè´¢æ”¿æ”¿ç­–å‘力显效，一般公共预算收入指数大幅走低，ä»?0月起转为负增长；房地产开å‘投资增速ç»åŽ†äº†æ˜Žæ˜¾çš„政策性å°å¹…回è½ï¼Œæ€»ä½“平稳；å®è§‚需求指数除6-7月有å°å¹…回å‡å¤–，其余月份å‡ä¸‹è¡Œï¼›å·¥ä¸šå¢žåŠ å€¼å¢žé€Ÿæ•´ä½“呈现放缓趋势，但基本ä¿æŒå¹³ç¨³ï¼Œä½“现了当å‰å®è§‚ç»æµŽä»ç„¶å…·æœ‰å†…在稳定性；工业主è¥ä¸šåŠ¡æ”¶å…¥ç»åŽ†ä¸ŠåŠå¹´çš„å°å¹…回è½åŽå¼€å§‹é€æœˆå›žå‡ï¼Œä¿æŒå¹³ç¨³è¿è¡Œã€?/P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　è¡? 江西å®è§‚一致指æ•?/P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　<SPAN></P> <P class=cas_content align=center><IMG src="/images/404.jpg" width=554 height=501 _fcksavedurl="/images/404.jpg" v:shapes="图片_x0020_8" /></P></SPAN> <P class=cas_content>　　</P> <P class=cas_content>　　江西å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ™¯æ°”系统åˆæˆçš„先行ã€ä¸€è‡´æŒ‡æ•°èµ°åŠ¿å¦‚å›?所示。先行指数最近一次的峰值出现在2017å¹?2月达99.88，éšåŽè¿žç»?2个月下行，至2018å¹?2月达98.88。一致指数从2018å¹?月开始连续下è¡?2个月，至2018å¹?2月达84.15点，è·?月份的局部高点下é™?.73点。自2015年以æ¥ï¼Œæœ¬ç³»ç»Ÿå…ˆè¡ŒæŒ‡æ•°å¹³å‡é¢†å…ˆä¸€è‡´æŒ‡æ•°åŠå¹´æ—¶é—´ï¼Œç›®å‰çš„先行åˆæˆæŒ‡æ•°ä¸€è·¯ä¸‹æŽ¢å¹¶æœªè§å弹迹象，预示ç€æ˜Žå¹´ä¸€è‡´åˆæˆæŒ‡æ•°å°†ç»§ç»­ä¸‹è¡Œã€‚基于此，预è®?019å¹´å®è§‚ç»æµŽä»å°?/P> <P class=cas_content align=left>　　有较大的下行压力ã€?/P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　<SPAN></P> <P class=cas_content align=center><IMG src="/images/404.jpg" width=554 height=254 _fcksavedurl="/images/404.jpg" v:shapes="图片_x0020_3" /></P></SPAN> <P class=cas_content>　　</P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　å›? 2018年江西å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ™¯æ°”指数系统分æžå›¾</P> <P class=cas_content>　　从å®è§‚一致指数的长期走势æ¥çœ‹ï¼ˆè§å›?），è‡?010å¹´åˆå‡ºçŽ°åŽ†å²é«˜ç‚¹åŽï¼Œæˆ‘çœç»æµŽç»åŽ†äº†ä¸€ä¸ªå®Œæ•´çš„景气周期，目å‰å¤„于新周期的收缩阶段。而且，本次峰值水平显著低于历次周期的峰值，一致åˆæˆæŒ‡æ•°æ˜¾ç¤ºå‡ºé€çº§ä¸‹è¡Œçš„趋势。景气系统的è¿è¡Œç»“æžœå映出当å‰å®è§‚ç»æµŽçš„下行压力呈现短周期与长周期å åŠ çš„阶段性特å¾ï¼Œè¿™æ˜¯æˆ‘国ç»æµŽè¾¾åˆ°è¾ƒå¤§ä½“é‡ä¹‹åŽçš„å¿…ç»é˜¶æ®µï¼Œä¹Ÿæ˜¯å®žæ–½ä¾›ç»™ä¾§ç»“构性改é©ã€è§£å†³æ·±å±‚次矛盾的必ç»è¿‡ç¨‹ã€?/P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　<SPAN></P> <P class=cas_content align=center><IMG src="/images/404.jpg" width=554 height=246 _fcksavedurl="/images/404.jpg" v:shapes="图片_x0020_10" /></P></SPAN> <P class=cas_content>　　</P> <P class=cas_content align=center>　　<SPAN>      </SPAN>å›? 2004å¹?æœ?2018å¹?2月江西å®è§‚ç»æµŽæ™¯æ°”指数系统分æžå›¾</P> <P class=cas_content align=left>　　<STRONG>三ã€æ”¿ç­–建è®?/STRONG></P> <P class=cas_content align=left>　　（一）强化逆周期调节，积æžçš„财政政策加力ææ•?/P> <P class=cas_content 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